Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.062594 0.070791 0.079175 0.088360 0.098110 0.108124 0.119158
2025-08-17 0.049308 0.061327 0.074227 0.088964 0.105203 0.122433 0.141985
2025-08-24 0.038634 0.052498 0.068035 0.086416 0.107277 0.129962 0.156254
2025-08-31 0.030884 0.045741 0.063081 0.084240 0.108859 0.136169 0.168353
2025-09-07 0.026457 0.042277 0.061389 0.085303 0.113671 0.145618 0.183727
2025-09-14 0.023202 0.039825 0.060551 0.087059 0.119024 0.155469 0.199377
2025-09-21 0.021261 0.038812 0.061282 0.090533 0.126262 0.167388 0.217308
2025-09-28 0.018651 0.036587 0.060250 0.091654 0.130543 0.175756 0.231063
2025-10-05 0.018754 0.038131 0.064072 0.098816 0.142117 0.192690 0.254772
2025-10-12 0.015924 0.035133 0.061701 0.097996 0.143845 0.197909 0.264758
2025-10-19 0.014298 0.033748 0.061363 0.099670 0.148555 0.206611 0.278782
2025-10-26 0.012368 0.031665 0.059915 0.099784 0.151241 0.212825 0.289825
2025-11-02 0.010925 0.030316 0.059544 0.101458 0.156107 0.221966 0.304727
2025-11-09 0.009337 0.028526 0.058445 0.102116 0.159692 0.229591 0.317906
2025-11-16 0.007155 0.025287 0.054970 0.099364 0.158766 0.231588 0.324243
2025-11-23 0.005406 0.022486 0.051917 0.097011 0.158216 0.233941 0.330921
2025-11-30 0.004569 0.021393 0.051420 0.098161 0.162181 0.241848 0.344292
2025-12-07 0.003961 0.020687 0.051480 0.100059 0.167106 0.250937 0.359097
2025-12-14 0.003708 0.020783 0.052834 0.103811 0.174488 0.263109 0.377674
2025-12-21 0.003110 0.019878 0.052460 0.105020 0.178461 0.270994 0.391013
2025-12-28 0.003465 0.021572 0.056518 0.112738 0.191175 0.289912 0.417897
2026-01-04 0.002654 0.019896 0.054749 0.111855 0.192322 0.294229 0.426876
2026-01-11 0.002268 0.019316 0.054820 0.113656 0.197061 0.303075 0.441413